The LRB Podcast
Forecasting D-Day
Jun 5, 2024
Lawrence Hogben, a New Zealand-born meteorologist and Royal Navy officer, discusses the collaborative efforts of various forecasters in predicting the crucial weather conditions for D-Day. The podcast explores the challenges faced by meteorologists, the conflicting forecasts that almost led to a wrong decision, and the contrasting approaches to weather forecasting between the Allies and German generals during World War II.
13:45
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Quick takeaways
- Collaborative forecasting for D-Day involved diverse experts from different institutions, ensuring a comprehensive and accurate prediction.
- Accurate weather predictions were crucial for the success of D-Day, showcasing the fusion of scientific expertise with strategic military planning.
Deep dives
Forecasting D-Day Weather
The podcast explores the complexities of predicting the weather for the crucial D-Day landings in June 1944. Meteorologists faced challenges in selecting the ideal date, considering factors like calm sea conditions and clear skies for the operation. Despite the odds against accurate forecasts, a committee of forecasters from different backgrounds collaborated to provide a reliable prediction for the invasion. The final decision to proceed with the landings was made based on a tentative forecast that deemed Tuesday, the sixth of June, as the most suitable day.
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