Elon Musk Podcast Elon Musk Said AGI Would Arrive by 2025. Now He Says 2026.
Dec 18, 2025
Elon Musk claims that a future without poverty and universal high income is on the horizon, with AGI arriving by 2026. This raises eyebrows, as he previously predicted 2025. The discussion delves into why his timelines keep slipping and the marketing motivations behind them. Technical skepticism about AGI's readiness is explored, alongside moral questions about wealth redistribution and the potential loss of meaning in a post-work society. The conversation emphasizes the need for caution in considering Musk's ambitious promises.
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Musk's Post-Scarcity Vision
- Elon Musk predicts AI and robotics could eliminate poverty by providing universal high income rather than basic income.
- He argues abundant production would make money largely irrelevant and work optional for many people.
What AGI Actually Means
- AGI means AI matching or exceeding human cognitive abilities across tasks, but definitions vary.
- The podcast emphasizes AGI is not narrow AI and lacks a single agreed definition.
Skeptical Of Musk's Deadlines
- Take Elon Musk's specific timelines with skepticism because he repeatedly moves deadlines.
- Treat his near-term AGI and product promises as promotional and not definitive roadmaps.