Former St. Louis Fed President Bullard discusses the prospects for a soft landing. Kochugovindan reacts to BOE rate decision. Morse says there is no longer an oversupply of oil. Juckes discusses the FX market amid central bank decisions. Levy talks about the recent sale of star striker Harry Kane.
Former Fed President Bullard believes the Fed's 'higher for longer' approach is appropriate given the absence of a recession and the need to bring inflation back to the target rate of 2%.
Edward Morris highlights the factors behind the increase in oil prices, including countries with surplus capacity cutting back on production for higher revenues and China's strategy of buying low and selling high, resulting in substantial inventory buildup.
Deep dives
The Fed's Decision on Interest Rates and Inflation Outlook
Former St. Louis Fed President, James Bullard, shares his views on the dot plot and the Federal Reserve's decision to leave interest rates unchanged. He believes the Fed's 'higher for longer' approach is appropriate given the absence of a recession and the need to bring inflation back to the target rate of 2%. Bullard also discusses the potential risks of inflationary pressures in the U.S. economy and the importance of monitoring core inflation closely. He highlights the positive outlook for the labor market and the potential for a soft landing, but emphasizes the need for continued vigilance in managing inflation.
Oil Market Dynamics and Rising Prices
Edward Morris, global head of commodity research at Citigroup, discusses the factors behind the increase in oil prices. He attributes the rise to countries with surplus capacity cutting back on production in search of higher revenues. Morris highlights the importance of the fragile five countries - Iran, Iraq, Libya, Nigeria, and Venezuela - which are ramping up production. He also mentions China's role in the market, noting their strategy of buying low and selling high, which has resulted in substantial inventory buildup. Morris believes these factors, along with non-OPEC production growth, will contribute to a weaker oil market.
Ownership and Future of Tottenham Hotspur Football Club
In an interview with Daniel Levy, Chairman of Tottenham Hotspur Football Club, he discusses the recent departure of star player Harry Kane, the club's ownership structure, and the impact of Saudi money in the football market. Levy explains the decision to sell Kane, stating that the player didn't commit to a new contract, and the club couldn't rely on a dream he would sign one. He also addresses speculation about potential ownership changes, emphasizing the club's self-sufficiency and openness to propositions that are in the best interest of shareholders. Levy shares insights on the significance of Tottenham's new stadium and its multi-purpose use for various events beyond football.
The Effects of Stronger Dollar and Higher Real Yields
Kit Jukes, chief foreign exchange strategist at Societe Generale, discusses the implications of a stronger US dollar and higher real yields. Jukes highlights the challenges posed by the stronger dollar, particularly for China and other nations, which may lead to currency devaluations. He also mentions the potential impact on global bond yields and the need for the Bank of Japan to take significant measures to counter rising yields. Jukes emphasizes the importance of politics in shaping monetary policy and suggests that higher real yields in the US may persist in the near term.
Former St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard says the prospects for soft landing look good. Sree Kochugovindan, Abrdn Senior Research Economist reacts to the BOE rate decision. Edward Morse, Citigroup Global Head of Commodity Research says there is no longer an oversupply of oil. Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Chief FX Strategist discusses the FX market amid a busy week of central bank decisions. Daniel Levy, Tottenham Hotspur Chairman talks about the recent sale of star striker Harry Kane to Bayern Munich.