Rami Jarrah, a Syrian journalist who has reported on the uprising and civil war, shares his mixed feelings about the recent fall of Assad's regime. He reflects on the celebrations of freedom but warns of the volatile aftermath. The podcast delves into the complexities of establishing governance, the emotional reunions of families, and the challenges of seeking justice for war crimes. Jarrah draws from his own traumatic experiences to discuss the potential risks of revenge-driven power shifts in the now-changing political landscape.
The overthrow of Assad by rebel forces has ended decades of authoritarian rule in Syria, sparking celebrations and renewed hope among citizens.
The formation of an interim government faces skepticism regarding its ability to address diverse needs and ensure inclusivity amid rising sectarian tensions.
Deep dives
Seismic Change in Syria
Recent developments in Syria mark a significant shift as rebel forces, notably led by Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, have overthrown the regime of President Bashar al-Assad, ending a brutal civil war and decades of authoritarian rule. This sudden change has resulted in jubilant celebrations across the country, with citizens liberated from oppressive conditions, including thousands recently released from prisons. The swift advance of rebel groups, who have taken control of major cities, disrupts the longstanding power structure, surprising many both domestically and internationally. The international community is now closely monitoring the situation as power dynamics shift, with Assad allegedly fleeing to Russia.
Formation of Transitional Government
The newly appointed interim prime minister, endorsed by the leading rebel group HTS, signifies a critical step toward establishing a transitional government in Syria. This interim government is intended to govern regions like Idlib and represents an initial attempt to create a structured political entity following years of chaos. However, concerns arise regarding its effectiveness in addressing the diverse needs and rights of Syrian citizens due to the complex socio-political landscape of the country. Observers note that while some progress has been made under HTS leadership in Idlib, significant skepticism remains about the governance model's ability to unify Syria's diverse populations.
Navigating Sectarian Dynamics
The aftermath of the regime's fall presents significant risks regarding sectarian tensions within Syria, particularly concerning the Sunni majority's historical grievances against minority groups. There are fears that a new governance system could exacerbate divisions, especially if majority Sunni interests overshadow those of Alawites and other minorities. Analysts stress the importance of inclusivity in post-conflict governance to maintain Syria's rich cultural diversity while avoiding resentment among marginalized groups. The delicate balance needed for a stable society is highlighted, along with the need for a political approach that integrates all factions to prevent further conflict.
International Implications and Future Prospects
The geopolitical landscape surrounding Syria is complex, with regional powers like Israel, Turkey, and Iran vying for influence following the recent upheaval. Israel has already engaged militarily within Syrian territory, while Turkey’s involvement raises potential complications due to its historical ties and aimed interests. The international community is urged to contribute to Syria's rebuilding efforts rather than exploit the situation, as economic stability is essential for a peaceful transition. Observers believe that fostering genuine cooperation among global stakeholders will be crucial in supporting the new governance and ensuring that the lessons of the past are not repeated.
The unexpected toppling this weekend of the Assad regime by rebel forces brought a swift end to Syria's 13-year uprising-cum-civil war and over half a century of authoritarian rule. Syrians around the world have celebrated the development, with thousands walking free from the regime's hellish prisons.
But in the aftermath, the situation remains volatile. Israel has struck targets inside Syria and moved troops deeper into the occupied Golan Heights, while international powers jockey for influence. Mohammed al-Bashir, who led the rebels’ de facto government in northwest Syria, has been named interim prime minister.
Syrian journalist Rami Jarrah was among those celebrating Bashar al-Assad’s fall, but he’s worried about what happens in his country now. He reported from Syria during the early uprisings in 2011 and throughout the civil war, including Aleppo in 2016 during the intense bombardment. On this week’s episode of The Intercept Briefing, he says his own experience being detained and tortured by the Syrian government informs his concerns. “For a long time I had a serious grudge. I wanted revenge. Revenge that looked very ugly. And it’s why I understand how a situation like Syria, where there is this change of power, and how dangerous that can be because the things I was thinking about after what happened to me and what happened to loved ones of mine. I could not have been trusted to have authority in my hands if we’d gotten a hold of the perpetrators or even people that maybe just corresponded to the perpetrators. I don’t think I would have made sensible decisions. I think the last 4 or 5 years, I’ve been able to reflect,” he recounts.
He says Assad and his family fleeing to Russia gives Syria a chance to move forward in a productive way. Had Assad stayed and fought, “we could have fallen into a civil war very quickly. … I think him fleeing sends a crippling message to those that supported him,” Jarrah says. “It made it much more likely that there could be a reconciliation process between those that supported Assad and those that were victims of Assad’s system.”
To hear more of the conversation, listen to this week’s episode of The Intercept Briefing.