Making Sense with Sam Harris #440 — A World in Crisis
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Oct 24, 2025 
Robert D. Kaplan, a renowned geopolitical analyst and author, dives into pressing global issues. He discusses the profound impacts of climate change and demographics on migration and security. Kaplan warns that the primacy of order is crucial to preserve freedom, echoing historical lessons. He critiques globalization and social media's role in modern political instability. Addressing the decline of Russia under Putin, he analyzes its implications for global dynamics, while pondering the future of U.S.-China relations amidst rising tensions.
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Post-Cold War Optimism Was Misplaced
- Robert D. Kaplan argues the post-Cold War optimism about global liberal democracy was mistaken.
- He predicted fragmentation, disorder, and environmental pressures that have since manifested in many regions.
Environment And Demographics Drive Instability
- Kaplan maintains environmental and demographic pressures remain central to 21st-century security.
- He links water, soil depletion, and urbanization to migration and political instability.
Demographic Shift Toward Africa
- Kaplan emphasizes massive population shifts from Africa to Europe over this century.
- He warns steady migration will fuel European populism for decades.
