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SpyTalk

Red Cell Study on China Rise

Jan 28, 2024
Former CIA officials discuss the establishment and goals of a red cell project focused on analyzing the rise of China. They explore the origins and purpose of the red cell program, its benefits for strategic thinking, and the challenges faced by high-level officials in decision-making. The importance of US-China relations and the reminder of impermanence are also highlighted.
38:56

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The Red Cell project on China's rise to preeminence in 2041 focused on non-military factors and highlighted the danger of a perceived lack of U.S. will or capability to counter global challenges.
  • The CIA's expertise in cultural understanding and historical context enhances U.S. policymakers' decision-making process in managing relations with China.

Deep dives

Establishment of the Red Cell

After the September 11 attacks, the CIA's Directorate of Intelligence created a red cell, an elite group of analysts tasked with thinking outside the box to address various issues. One of those issues was the challenge of China's rapid modernization. The red cell project on China was recently imagined by two former senior CIA officers, who constructed a futuristic scenario set in 2041, envisioning China as the preeminent global power. The fictional red cell's task was to explain how China achieved this status.

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