ETF holdings for Bitcoin have remained stable, indicating confidence and potential price recovery.
Decreasing correlation between Bitcoin and S&P 500 suggests a return to Bitcoin's risk-on asset behavior.
Deep dives
Encouraging Signs in ETF Holdings and Bitcoin Price
ETF holdings for Bitcoin have remained flat, despite Bitcoin's recent price decline, indicating a new investor cohort holding onto their investments. This signals stability and potential for price recovery. Institutional investors, such as BlackRock, have begun buying Bitcoin again after a pause, suggesting confidence in the asset's upward movement. This behavior points towards a positive shift in the market sentiment towards Bitcoin.
Declining Bitcoin and S&P 500 Correlation
The correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 is decreasing, indicating a possible return to Bitcoin's risk-on asset behavior. As Bitcoin matures, it is expected to reflect its intrinsic properties more, potentially becoming a risk-off asset in the long term. The declining correlation suggests that Bitcoin may resume its market performance aligning with broader market trends.
Bitcoin Dominance and Market Dynamics
Bitcoin dominance, which typically decreases during bull markets, has been rising recently, suggesting that the full potential of the bull market may not have been realized yet. Post-FTX collapse, investors are more cautious with non-Bitcoin assets, contributing to Bitcoin's dominance. Despite fluctuations, Bitcoin's dominance trend hints at further growth opportunities within the current market cycle.
1.
Encouraging Signs for Bitcoin: ETF Holdings, Correlation with S&P 500, and Bitcoin Dominance
In this episode, Joe walks through four important bitcoin charts before the long 4th of July weekend gets underway. He looks at ETF buyers re-entering the market after a 3-week slump, forecasting that bitcoin may be slated to break its consolidation. He suggests that BTC will likely resume its bull run due to the S&P 500 correlation with BTC dropping rapidly. He takes a look at BTC dominance relative to crypto to make the assertion that, judging by past cycles, the bulk of bitcoin's bull run is still on its way. Finally, he concludes with a look at performance of the S&P 500 in the second half of the year to determine how bitcoin will do.
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