Exploring the factors that could lead to US involvement in major conflicts, with a focus on potential conflicts with China and Russia. Discussing the complexities of addressing drug cartels in Mexico and the importance of collaboration with the Mexican government to prevent negative economic impacts on the US.
US involvement in conflicts shaped by historical contexts and a need for a reckless provocation.
Concerns for US leadership in handling drug cartels in Mexico call for collaborative solutions.
Deep dives
Factors Leading to US Involvement in Major Conflict
The United States' engagement in major conflicts has been influenced by historical contexts such as supporting global order after World War II and shaping the post-Cold War world. To trigger US involvement in a significant conflict, it would require either a political leader viewing international issues as critical for national identity, which is currently not evident, or a reckless provocation directed towards the US. While China understands the dire consequences of engaging in conflict with the US due to its reliance on sea routes for essential supplies, Russia's potential incompetence could pose a more direct clash, especially concerning US interests like NATO's involvement in Ukraine.
Potential Military Actions in North America
Within North America, notable concerns for US strategic leadership revolve around the issue of drug cartels in Mexico. The prevalence of drug-related problems and the government's shortcomings have worsened Mexico's public safety and infrastructure. Despite the complexity of the cartel situation, any notion of the US imposing a military solution unilaterally is deemed impractical, emphasizing the necessity for a collaborative approach similar to the partnering with Colombia. Attempting a military intervention without Mexico's active involvement would not only jeopardize the trade relationship but also disrupt crucial economic ties, leading to adverse consequences for both countries.
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Factors Influencing US Engagement in Major Conflicts