SI135: WHY Trend Following is the Safest Investment Strategy ft. Moritz Seibert

Apr 11, 2021

Ask episode

Chapters

Transcript

Episode notes

Moritz Seibert joins us today to discuss the little-known hedge fund Archegos, who recently blew up and cost billions of dollars for large institutions such as Credit Suisse and Nomura. We also discuss whether cracks are beginning to show in the stock market, the bull market in commodities, opportunities for investing in Chinese commodity markets, the risks of trading in emerging markets, how to trade cryptocurrency futures, and combining Trend Following strategies with none-correlated strategies in the same system.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

Over-leveraged hedge funds showing little regard for risk
What stage of the bull market in stocks we might be in
The rise in commodity prices
Trading in the Chinese commodity markets
The possible risks of trading in emerging markets
Crypto futures and how they differ from more traditional futures markets
Trend Following combined with other investment strategies for a complete portfolio
call Gold a 'safe-haven' asset?

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Moritz on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:19 - Macro recap from Niels

05:22 - Weekly review of returns

12:48 - Quant trading firms being ready to pounce on a possible upcoming commodity boom, especially in China

31:05 - The departure of some CTAs away from major exchanges, and the fund Archegos blowing up costing billions for major global banks

49:25 - Arbitraging bitcoin futures

01:00:45 - Q1; Jim: What are your thoughts on combining a Trend Following system with a mean-reversion system?

01:04:40 - Q2; John: Do you have any advice on which futures contract to trade and when to roll?

01:09:14 - Q3; Mark: If Trend Following philosophy assumes the future is unknown, why is normal to use historical price data?

01:14:45 - Performance recap

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer