Word on the Street

#326 Immigration and growth

4 snips
Jun 12, 2025
Will Hobbs, an investment strategist at Barclays, shares his expertise on the complex interplay between immigration and economic growth. He critiques traditional economic indicators, highlighting how immigration drives innovation and cultural shifts. The discussion delves into the impact of mobile technology on mental health and examines modern political communication strategies. With an optimistic outlook on real wages and growth, Hobbs emphasizes the importance of ideas in fueling economic expansion amidst today's geopolitical dynamics.
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INSIGHT

GDP Snapshots Limitations

  • GDP snapshots are mostly meaningless due to measurement errors and only capture part of economic activity.
  • Longer-term GDP trends correlate with living standards, but short-term data should not be overemphasized.
INSIGHT

Hidden Economic Effects of Immigration

  • Immigration's economic impact is often invisible to standard aggregated statistics and statistical techniques.
  • Much of immigration's influence occurs outside market prices, affecting culture and knowledge vital for innovation.
INSIGHT

How Immigration Fuels Economic Growth Beyond the Data

Immigration impacts economic growth in ways that are often invisible in traditional economic statistics. Will Hobbs explains that many effects of immigration, such as cultural enrichment and the expansion of a society's knowledge base, take place outside market prices and are hard to measure in real time.

Research on immigration and deportation shows that deportations tend to reduce job growth and deter entrepreneurship, but the reverse effect of immigration is complex and context-dependent. High-skilled immigrants contribute disproportionately to innovation and new business formation, which boosts the economy significantly.

The mindset and risk-taking nature involved in migration parallels entrepreneurial spirit, introducing new cultural strands essential for innovation. Despite difficulties in precise measurement, migration historically supports economic growth on average over time.

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