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Surprise Liberal Win Explained
- The Conservatives unexpectedly did very well but still lost to the Liberals who won a fourth mandate with a minority.
- A progressive coalition around the Liberals provided them with a winning edge despite polls earlier predicting a large majority.
Carney's Historic Turnaround
- Mark Carney's leadership created the most spectacular political turnaround in Canadian history.
- The Conservatives' earlier advantage mainly related to crime and affordability messages, but Carney's appeal overcame that.
Shift Toward Two-Party System
- The potential exists for Canada to move to a two-party system nationally, similar to several provinces.
- The Conservatives may squeeze out other parties if similar leaders compete next election.