Morning Wire Election Wire: Red Wave Rising
Nov 6, 2022
Candidates are making last-minute appeals as critical elections loom. The changing dynamics in suburban voter support for Republicans draw attention, alongside Biden's strategies in Florida. Economic growth and early voting trends reveal a competitive race, especially among young voters. Key Senate contests and mayoral races dominate the discussion, highlighting the impact of third-party candidates. Surprising polling data indicates a tight race, with voter sentiments shifting as election day approaches.
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Republican Momentum
- Republicans are gaining momentum in the midterm elections, leading in several polls and betting markets.
- 538 now gives Republicans a greater than 50% chance of winning the Senate, up from 29% over the summer.
Suburban Women Shift
- A significant shift among suburban women voters favors Republicans, with a 27-point swing since August.
- This shift suggests that abortion may be fading as a key voting issue, while economic concerns rise.
Biden's Florida Campaign
- President Biden campaigned in Florida, a state where Republicans are currently leading, focusing on Social Security, Medicare, and the economy.
- His claims about economic growth and inflation were disputed by fact-checkers.