Focused Compounding

EP 286. Analyzing and Investing in Insurance & Reinsurance Businesses

Jan 28, 2021
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INSIGHT

Progressive's Growth-Underwriting Strategy

  • Progressive aims to grow rapidly with a combined ratio around 96 to remain profitable but aggressive in underwriting.
  • This balance supports fast growth while maintaining some underwriting profit, unlike aiming for maximum underwriting profit alone.
ADVICE

Evaluate Underwriting Consistency

  • Analyze underwriting history with combined ratios below 100 to ensure profits from underwriting alone.
  • Beware of insurers frequently switching business segments, as it suggests instability and higher risk.
ADVICE

Insurance Recovery & Premium Flexibility

  • Insurers must be able to reduce premiums drastically or recover from large equity losses to remain strong.
  • Avoid companies that cannot shrink or rebound after catastrophic events to ensure durable compounding success.
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