The Asia Chessboard How Long Will Deterrence Hold?
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Feb 4, 2025 Michèle Flournoy, Co-Founder of WestExec Advisors and former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, shares her insights into national security and defense strategy. She discusses the ongoing U.S.-China competition in the Indo-Pacific, stressing the role of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company and reputational deterrence. Flournoy highlights the need for enhanced military capabilities and strategic dialogues among allies, emphasizing collaboration with Japan and Australia. The conversation touches on agility and unity in responding to geopolitical challenges, including tensions in Sri Lanka.
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Reputational Deterrence
- Deterrence currently relies on China’s perception of US military strength.
- This reputational deterrence will weaken without continuous reinforcement.
Strengthening Deterrence
- Convince China of US resolve to defend Taiwan and allies.
- Improve capabilities by modernizing legacy systems and accelerating innovation adoption.
Taiwan's Importance
- Educating Congress about Taiwan's importance is crucial, especially concerning TSMC’s role in chip production.
- Emphasize the economic implications of Taiwan's vulnerability for the US and global economy.