Paulo Passoni (Valor Capital) on IPOs, M&A, and AI’s Impact on Startups in Latam
Feb 11, 2025
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Paulo Passoni, a leading Latin American investor and key figure in SoftBank's tech investments, dives into the challenges startups face in LatAm. He discusses the shortcomings of M&A as an exit strategy and the harsh realities of pursuing IPOs, revealing that $300M+ revenue is essential for listing. Paulo critiques the $200M acquisition trap, explores how SoftBank's investments reshaped the landscape, and emphasizes the critical role of AI in accelerating startup growth. His insights are a must for anyone invested in the future of Latin American entrepreneurship.
M&A is deemed an inadequate exit strategy in LatAm, urging startups to aim for substantial growth prior to any sale.
Startups must target at least $300 million in revenue for IPO consideration, shifting their focus from quick exits to long-term scalability.
The effective use of AI is crucial for startups to enhance productivity and adapt quickly in a rapidly changing market environment.
Deep dives
The Broken Exit Strategy in LATAM
Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) are seen as a flawed exit strategy for venture capitalists in Latin America, as many startups are encouraged to aim for significant growth rather than settling for smaller buyouts. Founders are often caught in the '$200 million acquisition trap,' which inhibits the development of true unicorns in the region. Investors emphasize the need for startups to seek larger revenues, notably aiming for at least $300 million to consider going public. This encourages a mindset shift among founders to prioritize long-term growth over quick exits.
The Importance of Sustainable Growth
Sustainability in growth is paramount, especially in light of the scarcity of growth capital in LATAM. Founders are urged to rise beyond comfort zones and actively pursue growth even in competitive environments. Maintaining a high intensity in their operations, especially during market lows, is crucial; complacency can lead to diminished equity value. Startups are advised to innovate continuously, creating new avenues of growth rather than becoming passive as they sit on cash reserves.
Adapting to Market Dynamics
The dynamic nature of the market necessitates that founders adapt swiftly to changes, particularly with the infiltration of technologies like AI. Entrepreneurs must embrace a learning mindset and stay up to date with advancements that can enhance their business operations. Those that effectively leverage new tools can significantly improve productivity and revenue streams, contrasting with those who cling to outdated methods. There's a call for leaders to remain forward-thinking and to foster ongoing innovation within their companies.
Growth Capital Scarcity and Its Implications
The scarcity of growth capital in Latin America requires founders to familiarize themselves with the competitive landscape and think outside traditional financing methods. Investors suggest that founders need to creatively utilize existing resources rather than solely relying on external capital. This situation can compel businesses to optimize operations and focus on sustainable growth metrics, such as revenue per employee. Consequently, firms that manage to innovate despite scarcity are more likely to attract investment and thrive.
Valuing Founders’ Unique Perspectives
The podcast underscored the value of embracing 'crazy' founders who challenge conventional thinking in pursuit of innovative solutions. Investors posit that individuals who think exceptionally differently are vital for the progression of startups, pushing boundaries that lead to disruptive advancements. Overall, the interplay between traditional expectations and unconventional strategies can yield more significant advancements in the tech ecosystem. By recognizing unique founder characteristics, investors can better ally themselves with ambitious projects in the marketplace.
Understanding Long-Term Vision
Long-term vision is critical, especially within the growth equity space, where the expectation is to cultivate unicorn companies. Founders are encouraged to build businesses with the foresight of IPO readiness instead of immediate M&A opportunities, which often fall short of truly transforming their industries. Recognizing when to pursue growth and when to prepare for exits, such as IPOs, is essential for long-term success. By focusing on sustainable operations and financial health, startups can increase their chances of successful market entry and investment attraction.
Kicking off this season with a must-listen episode featuring Paulo Passoni, one of the sharpest investors in Latin America. Paulo played a key role in SoftBank’s multi-billion-dollar investment in Latin America’s tech sector, serving on the boards of Quinto Andar, VTEX, and Creditas. Now at Valor Capital, he’s focused on backing and scaling the region’s next generation of high-growth startups.
This conversation is a direct, tactical breakdown of what really matters when building and scaling in LatAm. Here’s what we cover:
♢ Why M&A is a broken exit strategy for VCs in LatAm – and why startups need to think bigger.
♢ The hard truth about IPOs – If you don’t hit $300M+ in revenue, forget about a public listing.
♢ Why the “$200M acquisition trap” kills LatAm’s unicorn potential – and what founders should optimize for instead.
♢ How SoftBank’s cash wave reshaped the market – and the pricing mistakes that investors (including Paulo) made.
♢ The scarcity of growth capital in LatAm – what it means for startups at Series B and beyond.
♢ How to spot truly “crazy” founders – and why they are the only ones who build billion-dollar businesses.
♢ The game-changing role of AI in scaling startups faster with fewer people.
If you’re building or investing in LatAm, this is the playbook you need to hear.
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