Wild with Sarah Wilson cover image

Wild with Sarah Wilson

COLLAPSE SERIES: Gaya Herrington - Complete global collapse by 2040? The prediction is “right on track”

Jul 23, 2024
Gaya Herrington, an expert on global collapse predictions, discusses the accuracy of a 1972 MIT study predicting a collapse by 2040. She emphasizes the urgent need to shift away from growth-centric views and advocates for sustainable solutions. The podcast explores the concept of carrying capacity, challenges the notion of continual growth, and highlights the power of systems thinking for global solutions. It also delves into the influence of indigenous communities on environmental policies and the importance of embracing planetary boundaries for sustainable change.
53:44

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The 1972 Club of Rome model accurately predicts global collapse by 2040 due to finite resource consumption.
  • Transitioning to regenerative agriculture and renewable energy can help avert collapse within planetary limits.

Deep dives

The Prediction of Civilization Collapses by 2040 Based on Limits to Growth Model

The limits to growth model, developed in 1972 by the Club of Rome, forecasted that continuous consumption of finite resources would lead to civilization collapse by around 2040. Gaia Harrington, mirroring the Club of Rome's study, found that the model's predictions aligned with empirical data, signaling a steep decline in industrial output and well-being levels by mid-century.

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