Wild with Sarah Wilson COLLAPSE SERIES: Gaya Herrington - Complete global collapse by 2040? The prediction is “right on track”
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Jul 23, 2024 Gaya Herrington, an expert on global collapse predictions, discusses the accuracy of a 1972 MIT study predicting a collapse by 2040. She emphasizes the urgent need to shift away from growth-centric views and advocates for sustainable solutions. The podcast explores the concept of carrying capacity, challenges the notion of continual growth, and highlights the power of systems thinking for global solutions. It also delves into the influence of indigenous communities on environmental policies and the importance of embracing planetary boundaries for sustainable change.
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1972 Limits to Growth Report
- The 1972 "Limits to Growth" report used a systems model to predict societal collapse by 2040.
- This model considered various factors like resource consumption, pollution, and population growth.
Infinite Growth Consequences
- The "Limits to Growth" study modeled the consequences of infinite growth on a finite planet.
- It predicted a peak around the present time, followed by a decline and eventual collapse.
Collapse Dynamics
- The "Limits to Growth" model suggests a peak in industrial output and welfare around the present day.
- A steep decline is predicted around mid-century, leading to decreased output, food production, population, and welfare.