The President's Daily Brief

PDB Situation Report | May 3rd, 2025: Economic Pain in Beijing & U.S.–Iran Negotiation Breakdown

May 3, 2025
Steve Yates, a Senior Research Fellow at the Heritage Foundation and former Deputy National Security Advisor, discusses the strains of the U.S.-China tariff war and potential economic fallout for Beijing. Frank Gaffney, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, shares insights on the postponed nuclear talks with Iran, hinting at deeper issues behind the delay. Their conversation explores the geopolitical complexities affecting trade relations and the intricacies of U.S. foreign policy amidst rising tensions.
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INSIGHT

China's Escalation Strategy

  • China's leadership under Xi Jinping has consistently chosen escalation in the trade war rather than deescalation.
  • Both the US and China face economic pain, but China may feel it more acutely due to systemic differences.
INSIGHT

US Consumer Market Leverage

  • The US consumer market is a powerful leverage point in the trade war with China.
  • Reduced American demand can halt Chinese factory activity, shifting trade balances over time.
ADVICE

Diversify Supply Chains Globally

  • Focus on building trade agreements with allies like Japan, South Korea, and India to diversify supply chains.
  • This strategy reduces dependency on China and lowers trade tensions over time.
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