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Cullen Roche: The Market Divide Leaving Investors Behind | The Hidden Risks in Your Portfolio

Jan 29, 2026
Cullen Roche, founder of Discipline Funds and author of Your Perfect Portfolio, is a macro and portfolio-construction specialist. He discusses how market gains are increasingly concentrated in U.S. tech, hidden concentration risks in supposedly diversified portfolios, rising geopolitical threats around AI and China/Taiwan, the case for global diversification, and gold as long-term insurance.
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INSIGHT

Market Gains Concentrated In U.S. Tech

  • Wealth and market gains have become highly concentrated in U.S. technology and AI-related firms.
  • If you weren't a homeowner or heavily invested in U.S. tech over the last decade, you likely feel left out of the gains.
INSIGHT

Inflation Metrics Can Miss Personal Reality

  • CPI and public inflation metrics can misrepresent 'personal inflation' due to lagging components like owner's equivalent rent.
  • Commodity surges create fresh inflation risks that can change Fed expectations on rate cuts.
INSIGHT

Taiwan And AI Are Geopolitical Flashpoints

  • Geopolitical risk from China and Taiwan could materially reshape AI leadership and economic power.
  • Cullen warns that losing the AI race would be highly damaging for the U.S. over decades.
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