Morning Wire

Biden vs. Trump Rematch: State of the 2024 Race | 12.17.23

Dec 17, 2023
Philip Wegmann, a White House reporter at RealClearPolitics, breaks down the 2024 presidential primary landscape. He discusses Trump’s dominant polling and his legal challenges, exploring how they might affect Republican loyalty. The struggles of DeSantis and Haley to capture non-Trump voters are examined, alongside Biden's candidacy and concerns about his age. Wegmann also dives into current polling insights, revealing a narrow Trump-Biden race and the potential impact of third-party candidates like RFK on the election.
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INSIGHT

Trump's Dominance

  • Donald Trump's substantial lead in the Republican primary makes it challenging for other candidates.
  • He currently holds a 47-point advantage in the RealClearPolitics average and leads President Biden by two points.
INSIGHT

Impact of Legal Cases

  • Trump's legal cases could impact the race, but his supporters largely dismiss the allegations.
  • He frames himself as a martyr, arguing the attacks target his voters, not him.
INSIGHT

Challengers' Strategy

  • Trump's challengers might stay in the race longer due to pending legal cases.
  • They hope a conviction could shake up the election, despite Trump's strong position.
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