China In Context
Trump and China — Deal or No Deal?
Jan 17, 2025
Miles Yu, a military historian and former advisor on China to Mike Pompeo, and Evan Medeiros, a Georgetown professor and ex-senior director for Asia under Obama, dive into the complexities of U.S.-China relations under Trump. They discuss the implications of his hawkish approach and strategic diplomacy. The conversation also covers Trump's trade policies and the critical dynamics surrounding Taiwan, showcasing the intricate balance of power and the evolving landscape of international relations.
44:30
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Quick takeaways
- The Trump administration is expected to adopt a confrontational stance towards China, prioritizing economic and military deterrence over diplomatic management.
- The complex dynamics of U.S.-China relations could escalate trade conflicts, especially in the high-tech sector, impacting global trade significantly.
Deep dives
Trump's China Policy Direction
Under the new Trump administration, there is an expectation of a robust and confrontational approach towards China. The appointment of hawkish advisors, such as Marco Rubio, suggests an emphasis on deterrence rather than management in foreign relations, aligning with Trump's 'America First' agenda. This commitment to economic and military preeminence is evident in Trump's previous use of mass retaliation to deter adversaries and maintain stability in regions like Taiwan and the Middle East. The administration is anticipated to prioritize a strategic global framework at a broader level rather than piecemeal solutions to long-standing issues with China.
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