How will global politics, AI, and central banks impact global markets? | Guide the Markets - Asia
10 snips
Jan 15, 2026 Kerry Craig, Senior Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan, dives into how global politics and AI are shaping market landscapes. He discusses the potential impact of expected rate cuts and the pivotal role of consumer behavior in China for economic recovery. The conversation also highlights Taiwan and South Korea's dominance in AI-driven supply chains and their implications for growth. Kerry underscores the attractiveness of gold amid geopolitical risks and suggests a pro-growth stance in asset allocation and investment opportunities beyond U.S. equities.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
AI And Fiscal Support Sustain US Growth
- AI investment is a key driver keeping US growth momentum into 2026.
- Fiscal measures like tax rebates add a consumer 'sugar rush' that supports earnings and growth.
Rate Cuts Near The Finish Line
- Many major central banks are near the end of their rate-cut cycles while the Fed likely has two cuts left in 2026.
- Overall policy is nearing a floor, limiting scope for aggressive easing despite moderate inflation.
Taiwan And Korea: AI Supply Chain Winners
- Northeast Asia (Korea, Taiwan) benefits from AI-driven demand for chips and hardware.
- Their near-monopoly positions in advanced semiconductors create durable pricing power and earnings support.
