Running Through Walls

Healthcare Prognosis 2025

May 22, 2025
Healthcare experts share a pessimistic outlook for 2025 based on new survey results, mixing humor with serious insights. They discuss AI's potential to enhance profitability, while highlighting skepticism about its current challenges. Economic hardships could lead to declines in elective procedures, raising concerns about NIH funding cuts. Recent changes in Medicare Advantage payments signal a shift towards prioritizing clinical outcomes, along with innovative ideas like food as medicine.
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INSIGHT

AI Drives Healthcare Margins

  • AI can add significant financial efficiency, potentially improving net margins by over 10 points in healthcare businesses.
  • Most healthcare AI benefits come through integration rather than standalone AI ventures, emphasizing enhancement over replacement.
INSIGHT

AI Best Integrated, Not Insulated

  • Integrating AI into existing healthcare businesses is preferred over developing new AI-specific codes or products.
  • AI acts as an efficiency and product enhancement tool, but not a moat creating a durable business advantage.
INSIGHT

Volatility Stalls Healthcare Exits

  • Market conditions are expected to remain volatile and uncertain with no major IPOs or M&A in 2025.
  • This unpredictability dampens investment and strategic exit plans across healthcare IT sectors this year.
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