Pod Save America Pollercoaster: State of the Race with Dan Pfeiffer (Subscription Preview)
Sep 3, 2024
Terrence Woodbury, a polling expert, dives deep into the intricacies of the upcoming Presidential elections. He addresses the historical flaws in polling and emphasizes strategic efforts for the Democrats. Woodbury highlights Kamala Harris's strengths in connecting with swing voters on issues like abortion rights. Voter trends show increased enthusiasm among young and Black voters, while the Biden campaign must navigate shifting support and demographics effectively. The discussion blends insightful analysis with quirky reflections on candidate selections and political dynamics.
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Shy Trump Voters
- Trump voters may be underrepresented in polls again due to a "shy Trump voter" effect.
- Increased Trump voter participation in vote-by-mail could also impact results.
Harris's Undefinded Image
- Kamala Harris is less defined in voters' minds than Biden, which presents opportunities.
- This allows her to take credit for positive administration actions while distancing from less popular ones.
Walz as VP
- Tim Walz's Midwestern values and executive experience complement Harris.
- Democratic governors boost state margins, regardless of ticket presence.