FDD Morning Brief FDD Morning Brief | feat. Meir Javedanfar (Jul. 11)
Jul 11, 2025
Meir Javedanfar, an Iranian-born Israeli lecturer and expert on Iranian politics, shares his insights on the current turmoil in Iran. He discusses the internal challenges facing the regime, including authority issues and public perception after a major conflict. The podcast highlights the severe economic crisis and the Iranian people's desire for change. Javedanfar delves into tensions with Israel, Iran's regional relationships, and the geopolitical implications of U.S. sanctions. Overall, it paints a complex picture of hope amid desperation in Iran.
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Supreme Leader's Crisis and Image Damage
- Iran's Supreme Leader's image is damaged by his disappearance during the 12-day war and internal regime divisions.
- The regime faces a deep crisis between reformists and status quo supporters with no easy decisions ahead.
Fatwa as Political Bluster
- The fatwa calling for Trump's and Netanyahu's death is mostly bluster reflecting internal regime factional struggles.
- It is used to sabotage changes towards a conciliatory approach to the West within Iran.
Hardliners' Compensation Post-Nuclear Deal
- Post-2015 nuclear deal, Iran compensated hardliners with regional influence to keep them invested in regime stability.
- After the 2025 war, compensating hardliners will be harder, intensifying the domestic struggle within Iran.