The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast NFL Best Bets | Week 5
12 snips
Oct 3, 2025 Dive into Week 5 NFL insights with expert analysis on trends and market observations. Discover intriguing betting tactics on underdogs and favorites. Unpack a unique strategy around the Vikings vs. Browns low-total game. Get the scoop on the Seahawks' advantage against the Buccaneers and the optimistic tease for the Cardinals and Colts. Explore bold predictions for Patriots' potential upset and high-stakes plays for the Dolphins. Finally, catch a sneak peek into the Eagles vs. Giants matchup for next week!
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Parity And Tight Margins In Early Season
- NFL markets show extreme parity through Week 4 with no 4-0 or 0-4 ATS teams and totals splitting 50/50 across 64 games.
- Big favorites are winning outright (16-2-1) but only 10-9 ATS, so margins and regression matter for bettors.
Shop Low Totals And Consider Mineshafts
- Shop totals aggressively in low-scoring matchups like Vikings vs. Browns; Brandon recommends under 36.5 at DraftKings.
- Consider extreme "mineshaft" legs (e.g., under 27.5) for long-shot value when international totals collapse.
Low International Totals Behave Differently
- Defensive matchups and injuries create unique low-total environments, especially overseas.
- Historical low-international totals often finish extremely low; many sub-37 games end 30 or below.