Akbar Shahid Ahmed, a senior diplomatic correspondent for the Huffington Post, discusses Biden's policy towards Israel and its parallels to Lyndon Johnson's support for Vietnam in 1968. The podcast explores the US-Israel relationship, key figures' roles in US actions in the Middle East, dissent among US officials, doubts about casualty figures, and the humanitarian situation in Gaza.
The Biden administration's support for Israel during the Gaza war damaged its international credibility and raised concerns about its ability to rally global support on critical issues.
The unwavering support for Israel by the Biden administration led to dissent within the State Department and comparisons to the level of dissent observed during the Iraq invasion, potentially impacting US credibility globally.
Deep dives
The Biden Administration's Stance on Israel
The Biden administration assumed office with promises to prioritize the two-state solution and to steer away from Trump's pro-Netanyahu policies. However, they did not make any specific promises to reverse Trump's controversial policy changes, such as Jerusalem as the capital of Israel or the recognition of illegal settlements. Biden's team intended to focus on strategic competition with China and Europe, hoping to keep the Middle East conflict off the president's table. There was a desire to support Israel unconditionally and to maintain a close relationship, driven by Biden's long-standing personal sympathy and historical perception of Israel as a small country surrounded by enemies.
Dissent within the State Department
The Biden administration faced dissent from long-time serving US government officials, particularly at the State Department, who felt unable to shape policy due to the administration's unwavering support for Israel. The resignation of Josh Paul, a veteran official overseeing weapons transfers, demonstrated the frustration that officials felt in their inability to shift the needle. While dissenting officials used internal channels to express their concerns, there was a significant reluctance to publicly critique Israel's actions. The dissent within the State Department was compared to the level observed during the Iraq invasion, reflecting deep concerns about the impact on US credibility globally.
International and Regional Consequences
The Biden administration faced criticism internationally for its close association with Israel during the Gaza war. The US's support for Israel's actions damaged its standing and credibility, particularly among countries in the global south. Allegations of Israeli violations of international humanitarian law, potential ethnic cleansing, and the perceived double standards in US foreign policy have raised concerns about the US's ability to rally international support and maintain influence on critical issues such as Ukraine and the confrontation with China over Taiwan. The damage to US credibility could also impact domestic politics, as Biden's policy on Israel is unpopular with constituencies such as younger voters, minority voters, and Muslim Arab Americans.
Domestic Political Ramifications
Biden's policy on Israel has the potential to impact domestic politics, particularly regarding his reelection prospects. While the administration may assume that critical constituencies will ultimately support Biden over Trump, there are concerns that the policies on Israel will alienate voters, especially those concentrated in swing states like Michigan. Constituencies such as Muslim, Arab American, and progressive groups have pledged campaign efforts against Biden if there is no change in the administration's approach. The influence of groups like APAC and Democratic Majority for Israel in targeting members of Congress who criticize Israel's actions adds another factor to the Biden administration's political calculus. The administration may face challenges in managing this backlash and maintaining voter support.
This is another special episode of Long Reads looking at Israel’s war on Gaza. Our focus today is on the politics of the Biden administration and its backing for Israel. Joe Biden and his team are still giving their firm support to Benjamin Netanyahu as he talks about a war lasting for “many months." With a presidential election due in the fall, there appear to be strong echoes of Lyndon Johnson and Vietnam in 1968.
Akbar Shahid Ahmed is the senior diplomatic correspondent for the Huffington Post. He’s been following Biden’s policy and the dissent among US government officials. We spoke on Tuesday, January 2nd, shortly after an Israeli bomb attack that killed a Hamas leader in Beirut, sparking fears of a wider escalation.
Long Reads is a Jacobin podcast looking in-depth at political topics and thinkers, both contemporary and historical, with the magazine’s longform writers. Hosted by features editor Daniel Finn. Produced by Conor Gillies, music by Knxwledge.
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