Talking Tokens

Why 70% of Token Launches Fail and How Forgd Is Changing That | Shane Molidor

Nov 6, 2025
Shane Molidor, founder and CEO of Forgd, shares his expertise in tokenomics and market dynamics. He discusses the staggering 70% failure rate of token launches, often due to poor liquidity and founders' misunderstandings of market-making. Shane advocates for transparency and better standards in the industry, urging projects to prioritize fundamentals over hype. He highlights how Forgd is changing the game with data-driven insights, fostering healthier market practices, and guiding founders through the complex capital markets landscape.
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INSIGHT

Illiquidity Drives Price/Value Decoupling

  • Crypto markets suffer from low liquidity and immature market structure that magnifies small flows into big price moves.
  • This illiquidity causes frequent decoupling between token price and intrinsic value.
ANECDOTE

Why Forgd Was Founded

  • Shane founded Forgd after repeatedly watching fundamentally strong projects fail due to poor go-to-market execution.
  • He built advisory tools to return capital markets expertise to founders.
INSIGHT

Momentum Outshouts Fundamentals

  • The market currently rewards the loudest memes more than the strongest fundamentals, creating signal-to-noise problems.
  • That froth forces serious projects to compete for retail attention against speculative launches.
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