Stocks Are Clearly Overpriced Now | Chance Finucane

Jul 15, 2025

In this insightful discussion, Chance Finucane, Chief Investment Officer of Oxbow Advisors, provides a cautionary take on the current stock market exuberance. He explores the risks tied to high valuations and contrasts stock returns with bond yields. The conversation touches on the importance of diversification, especially with rising interest in safer investments amid economic uncertainties. Finucane also emphasizes a balanced approach to investing and stresses the need for reevaluating positions in light of potential market corrections.

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INSIGHT

Stocks Significantly Overpriced Now

Stocks are currently as overpriced collectively as in many years, demanding caution in portfolio selection.
With a 4% risk-free short-term treasury return available, investors should carefully consider downside risks.

INSIGHT

Bonds Yield Attractive Safety Now

Elevated bond yields around 4% offer a rare, attractive risk-free option not seen in the last decade.
Short-term maturities provide decent yields with higher safety, unlike longer-term bonds with timing risks.

INSIGHT

Gold Gains as Banks Diversify Reserves

Central banks have structurally increased gold holdings as a strategic alternative to U.S. treasuries.
This trend is expected to continue supporting gold price stability and likely growth this decade.

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With stocks back near all-time highs, capital is gushing into the US financial markets and investors are feeling exuberant again.Is all this bullish optimism justified?Today's guest, Chance Finucane, Chief Investment Officer of high net worth advisory firm Oxbow Advisors, takes a more cautious approach.In their recent market letter to their high net worth clients, Chance, along with Oxbow founder Ted Oakley, delivered the warning that "It's A Different Time Now" -- a time when the chickens may come home to roost after a period of distortion that has artificially and unsustainably goosed financial asset prices.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#treasurybonds #commodities #goldprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.