Discussion on GPT-4's performance, release of Google Gemini, and the future of Frontier AI. Progress of LLMs including GPT-4 and Gemini Ultra. Current AI adoption, policy, and concerns on elections. Influence of AI on the legal system, safety discourse, and NVIDIA's AI chip success. Overview of AI advancements in 2024, chip-making competition, and AI companions.
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Quick takeaways
The state-of-the-art language model capacity is still dominated by GPT-4, generating questions about the future of larger models and how fast other models can catch up.
Two major players, Mixtrol and Metas Llama, are competing for attention in the open source space, with Mixtrol's plans to release a GPT-4 level open source model in 2024 gaining attention.
Deep dives
The State of LLMs: GPT-4 and Beyond
The state-of-the-art in language model capacity is still dominated by GPT-4, despite expectations for Google Gemini to surpass it. Gemini Ultra, when compared to GPT-4, showed promising results but was not directly comparable. The release of GPT-3.5 class AIs like Grox, Mixtrol, and Gemini Pro raises questions about the future of larger models. The key questions for 2024 are how fast other models can catch up to GPT-4, does Gemini Ultra exceed its capacity, and how different will GPT-4.5 be?
Competition in Open Source and AI Adoption
Two major players, Mixtrol and Metas Llama, are vying for the developer community's attention in the open source realm. Mixtrol's plans to release a GPT-4 level open source model in 2024 have garnered attention. Microsoft, with the announcement of Maya 100 and Cobalt 100 chips, also aims to compete. Enterprise adoption of AI is expected to increase this year, as companies integrate AI into existing workflows and market AI-powered devices like AI PCs.
Policy, Safety, and AI Chips
The EU AI Act, which takes a risk-based approach, sets legislative guidelines for AI use. However, it faces criticism regarding the potential impact on innovation. In the US, AI legislation progress is limited during an election year. The AI safety discourse gained mainstream attention, and public concern regarding AI's impact on elections and misinformation is growing. Chief Justice John Roberts discussed the impact of AI on the legal system. The availability of AI chips has seen increased competition, with NVIDIA leading the industry despite efforts from Microsoft, AMD, Intel, and Amazon with Anthropic.
NLW breaks down the industry as 2024 begins, from policy to AI safety to the state of the art in technology.
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