Shocker Poll: Trump Verdict Actually Does Matter to Voters—Big Time
Jun 18, 2024
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Ankush Khardori from Politico Magazine discusses a surprising poll showing decreasing support for Trump post-conviction. Impact on independents significant. Analyzes GOP dynamics, challenges Republicans face in supporting Trump. Explores implications on voter turnout.
Around 33% of Americans are less likely to vote for Trump due to his conviction, especially prominent among independents.
Public opinion polls reflect a general acceptance of Trump's conviction as legitimate, with majorities supporting the jury's decision.
Deep dives
Trump's Conviction Impact on Voter Preferences
Around 33% of Americans are less likely to vote for Trump due to his conviction, especially prominent among independents. The finding highlights the impact of Trump's legal issues on voter decisions. The poll aimed to gauge the importance of Trump's conviction to voters, revealing significant shifts in voter sentiments post-verdict.
Public Perception of Trump's Conviction
Public opinion polls reflect a general acceptance of Trump's conviction as legitimate, with majorities supporting the jury's decision. The polls also debunk false narratives propagated by Trump and the Republican Party regarding the case's motivations. Notably, the verdict is resonating with popular majorities.
Republican Response and Potential Electoral Implications
The Republican Party's defense of Trump's conviction involves aggressive hearings, yet vulnerable House Republicans resist measures to protect Trump. While the base may uphold Trump's defiance, independent voters appear swayed by the legal proceedings. The issue presents a dilemma for Republicans in swing districts, potentially affecting electoral outcomes.
This week, Politico released a new poll with some pretty big surprises: A larger-than-expected percentage of Americans say Donald Trump’s criminal conviction in Manhattan makes them less likely to vote for him. The finding is even more striking among independents. The poll also took the innovative step of trying to gauge how important Trump’s conviction is to voters. And the answer is: Pretty important! We talked to Ankush Khardori, a senior writer for Politico Magazine who oversaw this poll, who walked us through its findings, what they mean, and whether Trump’s pressure on Republicans to protect him from the law will backfire on the GOP in November.