The Intelligence from The Economist Power ballot: Japanese PM’s electoral gamble
Jan 20, 2026
Noah Snyder, East Asia bureau chief at The Economist, dives into Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae's bold decision to call a snap election just months into her term, exploring her surge in popularity and potential pitfalls for her party. Meanwhile, Dominic Ziegler discusses the newly announced UN treaty aimed at protecting the high seas, delving into its implications for ocean governance and the pressing threats of overfishing and climate change. Together, they unravel the intricate tapestry of politics and environmental conservation.
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Popularity Driven By Persona Not Policy
- Takeuchi Sanae's popularity is personal and performative rather than built on major policy achievements.
- She risks her premiership to convert personal appeal into a stronger LDP parliamentary mandate.
LDP's Institutional Weaknesses Exposed
- The LDP's institutional reputation is weak after scandals and changing political habits.
- Social media and inflation have eroded the party's long-standing dominance.
Monitor Centrist Alliance In Swing Districts
- Watch the Centrist Reform Alliance of the Constitutional Democratic Party and Kometo in close districts.
- Their cooperation could tip tight races by mobilising Kometo's organised voter base.