House of Strauss HoS NFL Week 3: New Kickoff Style = Huge Advantage?
Sep 23, 2025
This week features Steve Kuhn, founder of SportsPredict.com and a sports betting aficionado. He delves into the secrets behind his impressive NFL picks and why prop bets might be more exploitable than traditional game outcomes. Steve also introduces a game-changing kickoff strategy from the Rams and explains its potential impact on field position. The conversation shifts to punting tactics, aggressive play-calling, and the psychology of celebrations, highlighting the complexities and nuances of modern football strategies.
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Play For Edge, Not Volume
- Use SportsPredict's Smart Score to focus on quality edges rather than spamming every market.
- Limit picks to markets where you believe you have a measurable edge and expand volume only if your track record holds.
Props Are Pricier — And More Exploitable
- Prop markets contain more pricing inefficiency than game lines because books charge higher vig on props.
- That implies skilled bettors can find edges more often in props than in game outcomes.
Why Ethan Backed The Rams Underdog
- Ethan defended his Rams underdog pick as a reaction to a perceived Super Bowl halo for the Eagles and noisy defensive variance.
- He used that reasoning to justify backing a contrarian money-line underdog in that matchup.