Joining the discussion are Scott Lucas, an expert on US politics and foreign policy, and Oscar Guardiola Rivera, a professor specializing in international law. They dive into Donald Trump’s cabinet formation, particularly examining Marco Rubio's potential role and its implications for US foreign policy. The guests also analyze the significance of the APEC summit, focusing on trade dynamics influenced by China's Belt and Road Initiative. Additionally, they explore Latin America's mixed views on Trump and his impact on financial markets and environmental dialogues.
Marco Rubio's potential Secretary of State role suggests a shift towards an isolationist U.S. foreign policy impacting aid to Ukraine.
Trump's likely pro-Israel stance under Rubio may escalate tensions in the Middle East, moving away from previous diplomatic efforts.
Deep dives
Trump's Foreign Policy Direction
The potential appointment of Florida Senator Marco Rubio as Secretary of State is a significant indicator of the foreign policy direction under Donald Trump's upcoming administration. Rubio, known for his previous criticism of Trump, has shifted to align more closely with Trump's views, especially regarding support for Ukraine amidst its ongoing conflict with Russia. His recent statements suggest a willingness to impose strict conditions on U.S. aid to Ukraine, aligning with Trump's broader isolationist tendencies. This approach implies a potential reduction in U.S. support for Ukraine and a greater acceptance of Russian territorial gains, showcasing a stark shift in U.S. diplomatic strategy.
Implications for the Middle East
Under Trump's administration, the U.S. is expected to adopt a pro-Israel stance, strongly supporting Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu amidst the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Rubio’s documented history as a staunch ally of Israel suggests that U.S. foreign policy may further empower Netanyahu’s military actions, contrary to previous administrations' attempts to mediate in the region. This represents a shift away from diplomatic pressure towards actions seen as endorsing Israel's military objectives. The administration's lack of restraint over Netanyahu's actions could lead to escalating tensions in the Middle East, driven by the abandonment of diplomatic engagement.
China Relations and Trade Dynamics
The podcast discusses the anticipated hardline stance on China from Senator Rubio should he become Secretary of State, reflecting a broader bipartisan sentiment in Washington. With both Democrats and Republicans largely adopting a confrontational approach towards China, the potential for increased tariffs and trade tensions looms. Trump's plans to expand tariffs underscore a tough economic strategy that may escalate tensions further, especially with regards to Taiwan. Rubio's alignment with this aggressive approach raises concerns over possible economic repercussions for the U.S., hinting at a turbulent future in U.S.-China relations.
US president-elect Trump has begun forming his new cabinet. We examine what the White House hopefuls could bring to their roles. Then: world leaders descend on Lima for the Apec summit. Plus: we dig through the archives at Magnum Photos.