Episode 61: Outlook for 2025; Performance Over Last Year; Trumpian Regime Change; Addressing the Big Questions
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Jan 22, 2025
Explore the outlook for 2025 amid rising long-term interest rates and the complexities of the bond market. Delve into the implications of the British pound's decline against the US dollar and how it affects inflation and borrowing. Discover investment strategies that yielded high returns despite challenging conditions. Uncover the performance highlights of various funds and the significance of liquidity in diverse investment approaches. The discussion even touches on the changing political landscape and its influence on the markets.
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2025 Bond Market Paradox
The 2025 bond market saw rising long-term interest rates despite central bank cuts.
This was driven by concerns about political spending, tight labor markets, inflation, and Trump's policies.
question_answer ANECDOTE
UK Bond Yield Spike
UK's 10-year bond yield spiked due to investor fears about the Labour government's spending.
This caused a decline in the British pound and increased borrowing costs.
insights INSIGHT
Global Interest Rate Impact
Rising long-term interest rates are a global phenomenon, impacting borrowers dependent on cheap money.
This has led to increased defaults, particularly among non-bank financiers.
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Welcome to the Complexity Premia podcast by Coolabah Capital, hosted by Christopher Joye, Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital, and Ying Yi, also a Portfolio Manager at Coolabah Capital. The Complexity Premia podcast strives to deconstruct modern investment problems for wholesale (not retail) participants in capital markets. You can listen on your favourite podcast app, or you can find it on Spotify, Podbean or Apple Podcasts.
In this new flash episode of the Complexity Premia podcast, Chris and Ying Yi discuss the outlook for 2025, performance over the last 12 months, what it means to be living in a Trumpian world, and the big questions that lie in wait.
This information is suitable for wholesale investors only and has been produced by Coolabah Capital Institutional Investments Pty Ltd ACN 605806059, which holds Australian Financial Services Licence No. 482238 (CCII). The views expressed in this recording represent the personal opinions of the speakers and do not represent the view of any other party. The information does not take into account the particular investment objectives or financial situation of any potential listener. It does not constitute, and should not be relied on as, financial or investment advice or recommendations (expressed or implied) and it should not be used as an invitation to take up any investments or investment services. Whilst we believe that the information discussed in the podcast is correct, no warranty or representation is given to this effect, and listeners should not rely on this information when making any decisions. No responsibility can be accepted by CCII to any end users for any action taken on the basis of this information. Any performance data presented on this site is pre-fees for institutional clients that negotiate custom fee rates, and these solutions are not available to retail investors. No investment decision or activity should be undertaken without first seeking qualified and professional advice. CCII may have a financial interest in any assets discussed during the podcast. Listeners in Australia are encouraged to visit ASIC's MoneySmart website to obtain information regarding financial advice and investments.
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