The Journal.

How Betting on U.S. Politics Is Getting Big

9 snips
Sep 9, 2024
In this discussion, WSJ reporter Alexander Osipovich dives into the burgeoning world of political betting. He highlights how traders are making significant profits on platforms like Polymarket, especially during unpredictable political events. The conversation also touches on the ethical dilemmas of betting on elections and the ongoing regulatory battle regarding these practices. With speculation heating up about candidates like Biden and Trump, Osipovich reveals how current political climates influence betting strategies and public interest.
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ANECDOTE

Ryan's $700 Win

  • Ryan, a Canadian student, bet on Trump winning after a perceived assassination attempt.
  • He profited $700 by "riding the narrative."
INSIGHT

Prediction Markets Explained

  • Prediction markets aggregate bets on future events, creating a price reflecting collective wisdom.
  • This "wisdom of the market" aims to predict outcomes like elections or engagements.
ANECDOTE

Ryan's Big Win on Biden

  • Ryan made substantial profits betting against Biden being the nominee.
  • He capitalized on speculation and uncertainty surrounding Biden's potential dropout.
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