The podcast discusses the winners and losers in the OpenAI power struggle, including Sam Altman and Greg Brockman. It explores the impact on OpenAI developers, the remaining board members, and governance in AI companies. It also examines the consequences for AI safety advocates and the polarization within the AI community.
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Quick takeaways
Microsoft emerges as a potential winner in the OpenAI power struggle, with more control and influence, whether Sam Altman and Greg Brockman join Microsoft or return to OpenAI.
OpenAI developers face platform risks and uncertainties, leading to the challenge of diversifying reliance on OpenAI's APIs, resulting in additional complexities and a net loss for developers.
Deep dives
Microsoft: The Potential Winner
While it's uncertain if Sam Altman and Greg Brockman will join Microsoft or return to OpenAI, Microsoft emerges as a potential winner in the OpenAI fiasco. Microsoft's timely announcement on Twitter, indicating that Sam and Greg would be coming to Microsoft, helped stem potential losses. Even if an arrangement is reached for Sam and Greg to return to OpenAI, Microsoft is likely to have more control and influence. However, both scenarios still have drawbacks, either with a weakened OpenAI that needs to rebuild trust or with the startup team working at Microsoft, resulting in new platform risks.
OpenAI Developers: In the Losing Column
OpenAI developers find themselves in the losing column due to the uncertainty and risks associated with working on OpenAI's APIs. The organizational structure of OpenAI has created platform risks, as it's unclear which APIs OpenAI will continue to support. Developers now face the challenge of diversifying their reliance on OpenAI's APIs, despite OpenAI remaining at the forefront of AI models. While this may provide some short-term benefits in terms of reduced reliance on a single platform, it imposes additional challenges and complexities for developers, resulting in a net loss.
The OpenAI Board: Weakened and Losing
The OpenAI board, both as individuals and as an institution, finds themselves in the losing column. Their decision to remove Sam Altman, without clearly articulating the reason, has led to a wave of negative perceptions. The lack of explanation has reinforced assumptions of personal grudges or power struggles within the board. The board's failure to effectively govern and justify their actions casts doubt on the viability of novel governance structures in the AI industry. The result is a setback to open AI governance as other companies may lean towards standard structures and corporate formats, undermining potential experiments to slow down AI progress.
As the dust settles, NLW looks at who has benefitted and who has lost out after Sam Altman's removal and reinstatement. Spoiler alert: no one comes out better.
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