Deconstructing Modern Portfolio Theory to Build Better Investment Portfolios with Miguel Sosa
Jan 13, 2023
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Research and product strategist Miguel Sosa discusses deconstructing modern portfolio theory and applying its three elements for building efficient portfolios. The conversation explores the benefits of adding private equity real estate, comparing private real estate with publicly traded REITs, and how regular investors can access high-quality private real estate investments.
Low correlation is the primary contributor to diversification benefits, accounting for about 70%, followed by low volatility at 20%, and negative correlation at 10%.
Adding private real estate to a portfolio within the range of 10% to 15% allocation can be a meaningful contributor to overall diversification while mitigating concentration risk.
Deep dives
Understanding the concept of advanced diversification
The podcast episode explores the concept of advanced diversification in investment portfolios. While diversification has been understood for centuries, modern portfolio theory has allowed for the quantification of its benefits. The research discussed in the episode breaks down diversification into three components: low correlation, low volatility, and negative correlation or hedging. It is found that the primary contributor to diversification benefits is low correlation, accounting for about 70%, followed by low volatility at 20%, and negative correlation at 10%. The research suggests that traditional 60-40 portfolios with equities and fixed income have worked well in the past but highlights the need to adapt to a changing environment.
The role of real estate in diversification
The episode focuses on the role of real estate in a diversified portfolio. Private real estate is discussed as providing low volatility and low correlation with equities, making it an effective diversifier. Research analyzed over 40 years of data on private real estate, showing its ability to deliver significant returns and improve risk-return profiles. The findings suggest that adding private real estate to a portfolio within the range of 10% to 15% allocation can be a meaningful contributor to overall diversification while mitigating concentration risk. It is noted that private real estate values are determined through a robust valuation process conducted by third-party appraisers.
Comparison of private real estate and publicly traded REITs
The episode highlights the differences between private real estate and publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs). While publicly traded REITs offer easy access and liquidity, they tend to exhibit higher volatility due to share price movements influenced by market sentiment. Private real estate, on the other hand, has less frequent valuations and is less susceptible to short-term fluctuations. It offers the benefits of stability, low volatility, and the potential for higher returns. The episode emphasizes that private real estate, accessible through platforms like Case, allows individual investors to access high-quality, diversified investment strategies that are traditionally limited to institutions due to high minimum investment requirements.
Miguel Sosa is a research and product strategist at Bluerock Capital Markets, which has $15 billion in AUM.
At the 2022 CAIS Alternative Investment Summit in Beverly Hills, Miguel and I discussed a paper he wrote on Advanced Diversification, where he used modern portfolio theory to deconstruct the three elements of diversification to quantify the benefits of each of those elements. We then discussed how to apply those three elements to build a more efficient portfolio. We get a little technical in this one but I think you’ll really appreciate how this type of knowledge can help you build higher performing risk-adjusted portfolios.
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