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Michael Oliver: Why Momentum Says This Market Is in Trouble
Feb 11, 2025
Michael Oliver, founder of Momentum Structural Analysis, shares his expertise on market momentum and its current warning signals. He discusses how traditional price charts fail to predict trends, emphasizing that leading indicators are flashing signs of potential market collapses. Oliver explores the risk of a 50% bear market and the implications of the Everything Bubble. He also predicts a breakout for gold and silver, encouraging listeners to reconsider their investment strategies in light of upcoming economic shifts.
57:00
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Quick takeaways
- The podcast emphasizes using momentum analysis to detect market weaknesses, indicating a potential significant correction ahead for indices like the NASDAQ and S&P 500.
- There is a strong bullish outlook for precious metals, such as gold and silver, as safe-haven assets likely to thrive amid potential market downturns.
Deep dives
Market Processes and Momentum Analysis
The discussion highlights a unique approach to market analysis that emphasizes momentum over price trends. Rather than relying on traditional indicators like MACD or RSI, the speaker employs a method that plots price bars in relation to a longer-moving average, such as a three-quarter or three-year average. This creates an oscillator that reveals changes in market momentum, often indicating trend reversals before they surface in price charts. The speaker notes that while some markets, like the S&P 500, are showing signs of weakness, they are still waiting on key indicators from the NASDAQ 100 before drawing definitive conclusions about a market top.
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