S4 Ep42: Can we use experiments to understand institutions?
Oct 23, 2024
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Michael Callen, an economist at the London School of Economics, focuses on institutional change, while Jonathan Weigel from UC Berkeley specializes in experimental research. They discuss how rigorous experimental methods can illuminate the connection between institutions and economic growth. The conversation highlights the challenges of running experiments in varying contexts, using case studies like Congo's tax collection to showcase civic engagement. They also explore the role of mobile technology in enhancing institutional policy across different countries.
The podcast highlights a shift in research focus towards the critical role institutions play in economic growth compared to other factors.
The use of experimental techniques, such as randomized control trials, is emphasized for understanding the causal relationship between institutional changes and economic outcomes.
Deep dives
The Role of Institutions in Economic Growth
Institutions, defined as the rules of the game that govern human behavior, play a crucial role in determining economic growth and development. Recent research highlights a significant shift in focus from proximate determinants, such as physical and human capital, to deeper determinants, emphasizing institutions' importance in explaining why some countries are rich while others remain poor. This change underscores that factors like geography and culture, while important, are secondary to the institutional framework that shapes the economic landscape. For example, countries with strong legal systems and enforcement of the rule of law typically enjoy higher levels of investment and economic stability compared to those without.
Innovative Research Techniques for Institutional Analysis
A growing body of empirical research seeks to understand the causal relationship between institutions and economic outcomes by employing rigorous experimental techniques. The credibility revolution in social sciences has led to an increased application of randomized control trials (RCTs) to derive insights into institutional changes and their impacts on economic growth. For example, researchers have utilized RCTs to assess how variations in electoral integrity affect public trust in governmental institutions, demonstrating that improved election processes can boost citizen engagement and compliance with the state. This innovative approach enhances the understanding of how institutional frameworks can influence broader economic phenomena.
Identifying Critical Junctures in Institutional Change
Recognizing critical junctures, moments when institutions can either evolve or remain stagnant, is essential for understanding institutional dynamics. Researchers emphasize the importance of studying these critical junctures in real-time to capture varying beliefs regarding the future stability of institutions, which can significantly predict behavior changes in citizens. For instance, surveys conducted during periods of political uncertainty, such as the conflict in Afghanistan, highlighted how competing beliefs about winning factions influenced people's willingness to engage with state institutions. This focus on belief dynamics reflects a deeper understanding of how institutional change is perceived and the potential paths societies may take.
Collaborative Approaches to Institutional Research
Engaging with local governments and civil society organizations is key to conducting meaningful institutional research and ensuring that findings are relevant and applicable. Researchers often embed themselves within these contexts to gain insights into the operational challenges relating to institutional effectiveness, allowing for real-world applications of their findings. One successful collaboration involved working with political parties in Sierra Leone to explore candidate selection processes, leading to discoveries that improved representativeness and public service delivery. Such partnerships not only contribute to academic knowledge but also have the potential for significant policy impacts by informing the design of more effective institutions.
Institutions help to determine economic growth. But studying how they do this using
the rigorous experimental techniques popularised in the credibility revolution is
difficult. A new review highlights an exciting new wave of empirical research into the
consequences of institutional change. Michael Callen and Jonathan Weigel talk to
Tim Phillips about how we can do experiments about institutions.