The Opinions Are We Headed For Another Endless Middle Eastern War?
Jun 23, 2025
Nick Kristof, a New York Times columnist and seasoned Iran observer, discusses the precarious aftermath of the U.S. bombing of Iran. He warns that Trump’s optimism might be misplaced, as Iran has its own agenda. The conversation dives into Iran's potential retaliation and its effects on regional stability, particularly around critical locations like the Strait of Hormuz. Kristof also sheds light on the complex feelings of everyday Iranians towards both their government and Americans, illustrating the divide between regime rhetoric and civilian sentiment.
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Humility in War Planning
- Nick Kristof warns that war plans often go awry and humility is needed for conflict predictions.
- Overconfidence can lead to disastrous consequences, as seen with the Iraq invasion.
Iran's Symbolic Retaliation
- Iran's attack on the US base in Qatar seemed symbolic and warned beforehand to avoid casualties.
- This could allow minimal retaliation and an off-ramp for both sides if handled carefully.
Risks of Closing Strait of Hormuz
- Closing the Strait of Hormuz gives Iran leverage but risks harsh US Navy attacks and losing oil exports.
- Kristof expects partial threats, like mines, but no full closure to protect Iran's oil interests and customers.