Trader Mindset

How do you process your feelings around uncertainty?

Oct 6, 2025
Discover how to navigate the choppy waters of trading uncertainty. The host highlights that rules, rather than certainty, should guide trading decisions. He emphasizes the importance of a long-term perspective and reframing losses as opportunities for growth. The discussion includes viewing trades probabilistically, much like coin flips, and the need for emotional resilience. Listeners are encouraged to accept imperfect information and focus on the learning process, as consistent trading skills take years to develop.
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ANECDOTE

Beginnings Built Confidence

  • Michael Martin recalls starting from nothing and always believing he'd make it.
  • That early confidence shaped his daily mindset of expecting to win despite uncertainty.
INSIGHT

Certainty Is An Illusion In Trading

  • Trading outcomes remain probabilistic because information is imperfect and incomplete.
  • Over hundreds or thousands of trades your percentages surface, so focus on asymmetric edges not certainty.
ADVICE

Seek Asymmetric Reward-to-Risk

  • Put yourself in asymmetric scenarios where upside far exceeds downside.
  • Aim for setups where you can win three to five times what you risk.
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