The hosts discuss the recently launched defense strategy and the concept of sequencing risk in investing. They explore offense and defense in investing, emphasizing the importance of diversification and defensive strategies. They also highlight the limitations of talking about hedge funds and alternatives. Overall, they stress the significance of a defensive approach to investing and introduce their new defense strategy.
Having a defense strategy in an investment portfolio is crucial to mitigate risks, protect against downturns, and provide stability.
The river analogy highlights the importance of looking beyond average returns and considering the sequence and order of returns, demonstrating how it can significantly impact an individual's financial situation.
Rebalancing and active management are essential components of a defense strategy, ensuring alignment with risk tolerance and investment goals, while trend following in commodity markets helps capture inflationary and deflationary moves.
Deep dives
Importance of a Defense Strategy
Having a defense strategy in an investment portfolio is crucial to mitigate risks, protect against downturns, and provide stability.
The Story of the River Analogy
The river analogy highlights the importance of looking beyond average returns and considering the sequence and order of returns. It demonstrates how different order of returns can have a significant impact on an individual's financial situation.
The Need for Rebalancing and Active Management
Rebalancing and active management are essential components of a defense strategy. Rebalancing ensures that the portfolio remains aligned with risk tolerance and investment goals, while active management helps navigate different market environments.
The Role of Trend Following in Defense
Trend following, particularly in commodity markets, is an important aspect of a defense strategy. It helps capture both inflationary and deflationary moves by taking long and short positions based on trends.
Long Volatility and Tail Risk as Defensive Tools
Long volatility and tail risk strategies provide added protection during liquidity crunches and market downturns. Their convexity helps offset losses in other offensive assets and provides opportunities for rebalancing and capturing opportunities during market stress.
We are excited to introduce a new addition to our suite of investment strategies - The Defense Strategy.
It combines Mutiny Fund’s Volatility Strategy and Commodity Trend Strategy. The Volatility Strategy is designed to act as a so-called ‘black swan’ investment, achieving asymmetric gains in times of high volatility or tail risk (e.g. March 2020). The Commodity Trend Strategy is designed to profit during inflationary periods (e.g. 2022) as well as during extended ‘crisis periods’ for stocks and bonds (e.g. 2008).
In combining these two exposures, the Defense Strategy seeks to achieve flat to slightly positive returns during positive periods for stock and bond portfolios while providing its most significant returns in periods of equity market drawdowns or high inflation.
The Defense Strategy is part of the holistic Cockroach Strategy and is intended as a diversifier to be combined with offensive assets in an investor’s portfolio such as stocks, bonds, and private equity.
In this podcast, Jason Buck (Mutiny CIO) and Taylor Pearson (Mutiny CEO) talk through how and why we developed the Defense Strategy and the role we believe it can serve in investors’ portfolios.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode