Future of Life Institute Podcast Why the AI Race Ends in Disaster (with Daniel Kokotajlo)
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Jul 3, 2025 
Daniel Kokotajlo, an expert in AI governance at AI-2027 and AI-Futures, discusses the groundbreaking potential of AI and its ability to outpace the Industrial Revolution. He highlights the risks of AI-driven automated coding and the necessity for transparency in AI development. The conversation also delves into the future of AI communication and the inherent risks associated with superintelligence. Additionally, Kokotajlo examines the importance of iterative forecasting in navigating the uncertainties of AI's trajectory.
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AI's Transformative Power
- AI superintelligence surpasses the Industrial Revolution in impact.
- It could end human dominance or even the species itself.
Rapid AI Recursive Improvement
- AI could automate AI research to superintelligence within about a year from autonomous superhuman coding.
- This implies extremely rapid, recursive self-improvement and AI progress acceleration.
Takeoff Speed Shapes Consequences
- The speed of AI takeoff drastically affects societal impact.
- Fast takeoff may shock humanity with little notice; slower takeoff allows gradual awareness and coordination.