NFL analysis expert Adam Rauch joins Mike Leone to analyze Week 3's NFL slate for GPPs. They discuss successful game stacks, best games of the week, wide receiver ownership and ceiling, and potential dirt plays for Week Three.
Week 1 highlighted the importance of focusing on the highest-scoring and most popular games for GPP strategies.
Week 2 demonstrated the value of diversifying stacks and incorporating one-off GPP plays to take advantage of lower ownership and multiple high-scoring games.
Deep dives
Week 1: The importance of the Chargers Dolphins game
In week 1, the Chargers Dolphins game stood out as the highest-scoring game with a significant number of top-performing players and high ownership. This game did not provide favorable conditions for contrarian GPP strategies, as no other game came close to reaching the same level of points and popularity.
Week 2: The emergence of multiple winning strategies
Week 2 saw a different landscape, with multiple games that were both high-scoring and had lower ownership. This created opportunities for different winning strategies, such as correlating well and diversifying stacks. For example, the San Francisco LA game showcased the success of stacking certain players like Puka and Dibo, while also incorporating one-off GPP plays like Geno.
Week 3: Standout games and the potential for contrarian plays
The Chargers Minnesota game has the highest game total of the week, making it an appealing option for game stacks. However, with higher popularity expected, it's worth considering lower-owned players to gain leverage. Miami also presents an intriguing matchup, with the Dolphins offense showing impressive efficiency and Denver struggling to pinpoint the best options to target. The Houston Jacksonville game offers potential for contrarian plays, especially considering Houston's trailing game script and Jacksonville's improved offensive playcalling. The Baltimore Colts game also holds promise, particularly if Anthony Richardson returns, as the Colts have displayed a more aggressive offensive approach and the potential for Lamar Jackson-Mark Andrews correlations.
Mike Leone and Adam Rauch take a closer look at Week 3's NFL slate with GPPs in mind. They search for the best game environments for stacking and talk through some correlated plays.
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