The Intelligence from The Economist Thirty-day trial? A Ukraine-ceasefire proposal
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Mar 12, 2025 
Oliver Carroll, The Economist's Ukraine correspondent, delves into the intricate negotiations for a potential ceasefire in Ukraine. He discusses the cautious optimism surrounding a 30-day proposal and the complexities of Russian involvement. The conversation also explores shifting European defense strategies amid the ongoing conflict, highlighting NATO's urgent modernization needs. Additionally, the episode touches on a study linking loneliness to serious health risks, revealing its significant impact on longevity.
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Ceasefire Proposal
- America's Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, presented a Ukraine ceasefire proposal after negotiations in Saudi Arabia.
- Ukraine accepted a 30-day ceasefire in exchange for renewed American military aid, but Russia's agreement is still pending.
Negotiation Surprise
- Initially, there were differing viewpoints on the likelihood of renewed US assistance for Ukraine.
- However, the talks resulted in a full ceasefire proposal and the resumption of aid, exceeding expectations.
Russia's Role
- While Ukraine and the US are now on a more rational trajectory, the deal's success hinges on Russia's response.
- Moscow might demand concessions from Ukraine like neutrality, territorial concessions, or even elections.