At Any Rate cover image

At Any Rate

US Rates Strategy: Unpacking a big week for US rates

Jun 15, 2024
Phoebe White and Jay Barry discuss the impact of recent events in Europe on US rates, the downside surprise in May CPI, and their expectations for US rates and inflation markets. They anticipate the first rate cut in November despite weakness in core inflation.
16:43

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • French political events in Europe impact market spreads, US treasury liquidity concerns are more technical than crisis-indicative.

Deep dives

Global Market Developments Impacting US Treasury Markets

The episode delves into global market movements, particularly in Europe, where French political developments caused ripples in the market, leading to wider spreads in government bonds. Concerns regarding liquidity in the US treasury market were addressed, with insights suggesting that the dispersion observed, especially in shorter sectors of the curve, was more technical in nature and might not indicate impending financial crises.

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