Pod Save America Did Trump's Iowa win change anything?
Jan 17, 2024
Tim Miller, host of The Bulwark and Level Next, joins the conversation to dissect Trump’s stunning Iowa victory and its implications for the Republican primary. He examines the curious persistence of Ron DeSantis in the race and Nikki Haley’s insistence on it being a two-person contest. The duo explores shifting voter dynamics, especially among different age groups, and the pressures faced by candidates. They further speculate on a potential Trump-Biden rematch, highlighting the evolving political landscape and Trump's unique appeal despite legal troubles.
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Trump's Iowa Domination
- Trump overwhelmingly won the Iowa caucuses, dominating every demographic group.
- Even in the more representative areas of Iowa, Trump still won by significant margins.
Turnout and Haley Voters
- Caucus turnout was significantly lower than in 2016, suggesting a potential lack of excitement.
- However, Nikki Haley's voters strongly dislike Trump and are open to Biden.
Trump's Voter Demographics
- Trump consolidated older voters but remained flat with younger voters.
- This was based on an analysis from Politico comparing 2016 and 2024 turnout changes.