The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast NFL Best Bets | Week 4
12 snips
Sep 26, 2025 The hosts delve into trends revealing that public bettors are struggling early in the season. They discuss the betting edge for teams trailing at halftime and the influence of upcoming bye weeks. Exciting matchups are analyzed, like why the Vikings have appeal and the dynamics of international games. They recommend wagering on the Bills' team total and highlight some intriguing props, including Micah Parsons for a sack. A lightning round of quick bets wraps up their insights, with a lookahead to Week 5 featuring the Chargers.
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Public Bettors Underperform Early
- Public-heavy betting has been historically poor this season, with teams getting 60%+ of tickets going 4-17 ATS through three weeks.
- Betting teams trailing at halftime has been profitable, showing a 7.7% ROI since 2022.
Bye-Week Effects Are Twofold
- Teams with a bye next week win and cover more often, about 56.7% wins and nearly 58% covers last decade.
- Consider whether teams are entering a bye to empty the tank or to rest, especially after international games.
Take Vikings In Dublin While Key Number Holds
- Bet Vikings -2.5 in Dublin while staying under key numbers; value exists as several Vikings starters returned and Pittsburgh's defense looks flawed.
- Shop for under three or stay under three when possible and monitor injury/practice reports before kickoff.