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Flirting with Models

Charles McGarraugh - "Change in the Market is Accelerating" (S7E1)

Dec 4, 2023
Charles McGarraugh, CIO of Altis Partners, discusses their investment stack, comprising an upstream signal layer and a downstream strategy layer. They explore the benefits and drawbacks of this design, the operation of the signal layer, the need for adaptiveness in a rapidly changing world, integrating alternative data in market prediction, portfolio construction and risk management, and their fascination with asset duration and expectations formation.
01:12:37

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Adapting investment strategies to changing market conditions is crucial for success in a world of increasing non-stationarity.
  • The product structure of ETFs provides a more accessible and disintermediated distribution model for delivering active strategies.

Deep dives

The Importance of Adaptation in Designing Investment Strategies

One of the main ideas discussed in this episode is the importance of adapting investment strategies to a world of increasing non-stationarity. Non-stationarity refers to the idea that market conditions and dynamics are constantly changing, and traditional strategies that rely solely on historical market data may not be effective in such an environment. The guest speaker emphasizes the need for strategies that are responsive and adaptable to changing market conditions. By incorporating multiple risk premia and using signals like trend, carry, and intermarket relationships, the speaker's firm aims to make predictions on future returns. The design of the signal layer in their investment stack involves blending these factors and parameterizing predictions for different time horizons and assets.

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