FiveThirtyEight Politics
Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?
Oct 30, 2024
Larry Norden, the Vice President of the Elections and Government Program at the Brennan Center, dives into the potential turbulence of the 2024 election. He discusses the likelihood of litigation, with over 165 lawsuits already anticipated targeting voter eligibility. The conversation also covers the impact of misinformation on public trust and the importance of local election officials’ safety. Norden emphasizes the advancements in election integrity since 2020, including the significance of paper ballots and collaboration with law enforcement.
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Quick takeaways
- The 2024 election faces heightened challenges due to an unprecedented number of legal disputes, potentially undermining public confidence in election integrity.
- Recent experiences with election certification disputes have equipped officials with better strategies to navigate post-election uncertainties and litigation.
Deep dives
Election Certification Challenges
Over the past few years, there have been significant challenges regarding the certification of elections at the local level, with 35 local officials refusing to certify election results. This has necessitated state attorneys general and secretaries of state to engage in court actions to compel compliance, which has made them more adept at ensuring elections are certified moving into 2024. The experience gained from these legal proceedings has better equipped officials for potential future disputes, enhancing resilience in the electoral process. As the 2024 election approaches, these dynamics underscore a more prepared framework for addressing certification challenges.
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